John Sterman

Jay W. Forrester Professor of Management
Professor of System Dynamics and Engineering Systems
Director, MIT System Dynamics Group

Biography | Selected Publications

"Parameter and Confidence Interval Estimation in Dynamic Models: Maximum Likelihood and Bootstrapping Methods." Struben, Jeroen, John D. Sterman and David Keith. In Analytical Methods for Dynamic Modelers, edited by Hazhir Rahmandad, Rogelio Oliva and Nathaniel D. Osgood, 3-38. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 2015.

"I'm not hoarding, I'm just stocking up before the hoarders get here. Behavioral causes of phantom ordering in supply chains." ​Sterman, John D. and Gokhan Dogan. Journal of Operations Management Vol. 39-40 (2015): 6-22. (2015)

"Booms, Busts, and Beer: Understanding the Dynamics of Supply Chains." Sterman, John D. In Handbook of Behavioral Operations Management: Social and Psychological Dynamics in Production and Service Settings, edited by Elliot Bendoly, Wout van Wezel and Daniel G. Bachrach, 203-237. New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 2015.

"Learning for Ourselves: Interactive Simulations to Catalyze Science-Based Environmental Activism." Sterman, John D. In Science Based Activism: Festschrift to Jorgen Randers, edited by Per Espen Stoknes and Kjell A. Eliassen. Bergen, Norway: Fagbokforlaget, 2015.

"Stumbling Towards Sustainability: Why Organizational Learning and Radical Innovation are Necessary to Build a More Sustainable World—But not Sufficient."  Sterman, John D. In Leading Sustainable Change, edited by Rebecca Henderson, Ranjay Gulati and Michael Tushman, 51-80. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press, 2015.

"How to save a leaky boat: Capability Traps and the Failure of Win-Win Investments in Process Improvement and Industry Self-Regulation." Lyneis, J. and John D. Sterman, Working Paper. 2014.

"Do Markets Mitigate Misperceptions of Feedback?" Kampmann, Christian E., and John D. Sterman. System Dynamics Review. 2014. (2014)

"Interactive web-based simulations for strategy and sustainability: The MIT Sloan LearningEdge management flight simulators, Part II." Sterman, John D. System Dynamics Review Vol. 30, No. 3 (2014): 206-231. (2014)

"World Climate: A Role-Play Simulation of Global Climate Negotiations." Sterman, John D., Travis Franck, Thomas Fiddaman, Andrew Jones, Stephanie McCauley, Phillip Rice, Elizabeth Sawin, Lori Siegel and Juliette N. Rooney-Varga. Simulation and Gaming Vol. 46, No. 3 (2014): 348-382. (2014)

"Interactive web-based simulations for strategy and sustainability: The MIT Sloan LearningEdge management flight simulators, Part I." Sterman, John D. System Dynamics Review. Vol. 30, No. 1 (2014): 89-121. (2014)

"Making Systems Thinking More Than a Slogan." Sterman, John D. In Thought Leaders Blog. Network For Business Sustainability, November 2013.

"Adaptation of Mitigation? Lessons from abolition in the battle over climate policy." Sterman, John D. In Climatprogress Blog. Thinkprogress.org, July 2013.

"Cyclical Dynamics of Airline Industry Earnings." Pierson, Kawika, and John D. Sterman. System Dynamics Review Vol. 29, No. 3 (2013): 129-156.  (2013)

"Management Flight Simulators to Support Climate Negotiations." Sterman, John D., Thomas Fiddaman, Travis Franck, Andrew Jones, Stephanie McCauley, Philip Rice, Elizabeth Sawin and Lori Siegel. Environmental Modelling and Software Vol. 44 (2013): 122-135. (2013)

"Order Stability in Supply Chains: The Impact of Coordination Stock." Croson, Rachel T. A., Karen Lisa Donohue, Elena Katok and John D. Sterman. Production and Operations Management Vol. 23, No. 2 (2013): 176-196. (2013)

"What the Future May Bring."  Sterman, John D. Review of Global Forecast for the Next 40 Years, by Jorgen Randers. Sloan Management Review, December 2012.

"Foreword: Festschrift for Markus Schwaninger." Sterman, John D. Systemic Management for Intelligent Organizations: Concepts, Model-Based Approaches, and Applications, edited by S. Grösser and R. Zeier, V-VI. New York, NY: Springer, 2012.

"Reporting Guidelines for Simulation-based Research in Social Sciences." Rahmandad, Hazhir and John D. Sterman. System Dynamics Review Vol. 28, No. 4 (2012): 396-411. (2012)

"Reporting Guidelines for Simulation-based Research in Social Sciences." Hazhir Rahmandad and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by Elke Husemann and David Lane. Albany, NY: July 2012.

"ReThink Health Dynamics: Understanding and Influencing Local Health System Change." Gary Hirsch, Jack Homer, Bobby Milstein, L. Scherrer, Christina Ingersoll, Laura Landy, John D. Sterman and Elliott Fisher. International System Dynamics Conference, University of St. Gallen, Switzerland, System Dynamics Society. In Proceedings of the 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by Elke Husemann and David Lane. Albany, NY: July 2012.

"Climate Interactive: The C-ROADS Climate Policy Model." Sterman, John D., Thomas Fiddaman, Travis Franck, Andrew Jones, Stephanie McCauley, Philip Rice, Elizabeth Sawin and Lori Siegel. System Dynamics Review Vol. 28, No. 3 (2012): 295-305. (2012)

"Understanding Spatiotemporal Patterns of Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Adoption in the United States." David R. Keith, John D. Sterman and J. Struben. In Proceedings of the 2012 International System Dynamics Conference, edited by Elke Husemann and David Lane. Albany, NY: July, 2012. 

"Sustaining Sustainability: Creating a Systems Science in a Fragmented Academy and Polarized World." Sterman, John D. In Sustainability Science: The Emerging Paradigm and the Urban Environment, edited by Michael P. Weinstein and R. Eugene Turner, 21-58. New York, NY: Springer, 2012.

"Sony's Battle for Video Game Supremacy." John D. Sterman , Jekarl Kahn and Cate Reavis. In LearningEdge, 1-24. Cambridge, MA: MIT Sloan School of Management, 2011.

"Utilities Need to Cut Trees, Not Costs." Sterman, John D. Boston Globe, November 2011.

"Communicating Climate Change Risks in a Skeptical World." Sterman, John D. Climatic Change Vol. 108, No. 4 (2011): 811-826. (2011)

"Dynamics of Shared Capitalism Policies." ​Joe C. Hsueh and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by James M. Lyneis and George P. Richardson. Albany, NY: July 2011.

"Strategies for Transportation Electrification: Overcoming Thresholds, and Overly Optimistic Forecasts." ​Jeroen Struben and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by James M. Lyneis and George P. Richardson. Albany, NY: July 2011.

"Understanding Innovation Diffusion in the Presence of Supply Constraints and Price Feedback: The Case of the Toyota Prius." ​David R. Keith, John D. Sterman and Jeroen Struben. In Proceedings of the 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by James M. Lyneis and George P. Richardson. Albany, NY: July 2011.

"Jay Wright Forrester." Lane, David C. and John D. Sterman. In Pioneers of Operations Research, edited by Arjang A. Assad and Saul I. Gass, 363-386. New York, NY: Springer, 2011. 

"Customer Service at Dell, Inc." Sterman, John D. and A. Sen, working paper. 2010.

"In Praise of Greensburg, Kansas." Sterman, John D. and Randy Olson. In ClimateProgress Blog. Thinkprogress, November 2010.

"Amber Waves of Green: A Red State Town Turns Green." Sterman, John. Prairie Starfish Productions, November 2010.

"Does formal system dynamics training improve people's understanding of accumulation?" Sterman, John D. System Dynamics Review Vol. 26, No. 4 (2010): 316-334. (2010)

"Boom and Bust Cycles in Wind Energy Diffusion Due to Inconsistency and Short-term Bias in National Energy Policies." Katherine Dykes and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 28th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by Tae-Hoon Moon. Albany, NY: July, 2010.

"Death Spirals and Virtuous Cycles: Human Resource Dynamics in Knowledge-Based Services." Oliva, Rogelio and John D. Sterman. In  Handbook of Service Science, edited by Paul P. Maglio, Cheryl A. Kieliszewski and James C. Spohrer, 321-358. New York, NY: Springer, 2010.

"The Beer Game." Sterman, John D. In S. Kapoor, Business Simulations: Concepts and Applications. Hyderabad, India, Icfai Books, 2009.

"Effects of Feedback Delay on Learning." Rahmandad, Hazhir, Nelson Repenning and John D. Sterman. System Dynamics Review Vol. 25, No. 4 (2009): 309-338. (2009)

"Clean Technology Startup Management Flight Simulator." ​Joe C. Hsueh, David Miller and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by Andrew Ford, David N. Ford and Edward G. Anderson. Albany, NY: July 2009.

"Green, Simple, and Profitable: The Paradox of Failed Best Practices in University Building Maintenance." John L. Lyneis and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by Andrew Ford, David N. Ford and Edward G. Anderson, 1-26. Albany, NY: System Dynamics Society, 2009.

"Using C-ROADS to Support Analysis of International Climate Change Proposals." ​Elizabeth R. Sawin, Andrew P. Jones, Tom Fiddaman, Lori S. Siegel, Diana Wright, Travis Franck, Andreas Barkman, Tom Cummings, Felicitas von Peter, Jacqueline McGlade, Robert W. Corell and John D. Sterman.In Proceedings of the 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by Andrew Ford, David N. Ford and Edward G. Anderson. Albany, NY: July 2009.

Ventures in Salt: Compass Minerals International. Henderson, Rebecca M., Ramana Nanda and John D. Sterman. In LearningEdge, 1-22. Cambridge, MA: MIT Sloan Center, 2009. 

"A Sober Optimist's Guide to Sustainability." Sterman, John D. Sloan Management Review. January 2009. 

"Why Don't Well-Educated Adults Understand Accumulation? A Challenge to Researchers, Educators, and Citizens." Cronin, Matthew A., Cleotilde Gonzalez and John D. Sterman. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes Vol. 108, No. 1 (2009): 116-130. (2009)

"Addressing Global Warming Through Systems Thinking." Sterman, John D. Global Edge, 2008. 

"Transition challenges for alternative fuel vehicle and transportation systems." Struben, Jeroen and John D. Sterman. Environment and Planning B Vol. 35, No. 6 (2008): 1070-1097.  (2008)

"Risk Communication on Climate: Mental Models and Mass Balance." John D. Sterman. Science Vol. 322, No. 5901 (2008): 532-533.  (2008)

"Heterogeneity and network structure in the dynamics of diffusion: Comparing agent-based and differential equation models." Rahmandad, Hazhir and John D. Sterman. Management Science Vol. 54, No. 5 (2008): 998-1014. (2008)

"Addressing Global Warming Through Systems Thinking." Sterman, John D. In Global Edge: 8. 2007

"Exploring the Next Great Frontier: System Dynamics at Fifty." ​Sterman, John D. Introduction to 50th Anniversary Special Issue of System Dynamics Review Vol. 23, No. 2 (2007): 89-93. (2007)

"Thinking about systems: Students' and their teachers' conceptions of natural and social systems." Sweeney, Linda Booth and John D. Sterman. System Dynamics Review Vol. 23, No. 2 (2007): 285-312. (2007)

"Getting Big Too Fast: Strategic Dynamics with Increasing Returns and Bounded Rationality." Sterman, John D., Rebecca Henderson, Eric D. Beinhocker and Lee I. Newman. Management Science Vol. 53, No. 4 (2007): 683-696. (2007)

"Adults' Mental Models of Climate Change Violate Conservation of Matter." Sterman, John D. and Linda Booth Sweeney. Climatic Change Vol. 80, No. 3 (2007): 213-238. (2007)

"Foreword." Sterman, John D. In The Electronic Oracle, edited by D. H. Meadows and J. M. Robinson,  xvii-xviii. Albany, New York: System Dynamics Society, 2007

"Operational and Behavioral Causes of Supply Chain Instability." Sterman, John D. In The Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains, edited by Octavio A. Carranza and F. Villegas Palgrave McMillan, 17-56. New York, NY: Palgrave McMillan 2006.

"Cloudy Skies: Assessing Public Understanding of Global Warming." ​Sterman, John D. and Linda Booth Sweeney. Reflections Vol. 7, No. 3 (2006): 36-54. (2006)

"Learning from Evidence in a Complex World." Sterman, John D. American Journal of Public Health Vol. 96, No. 3 (2006): 505-514. (2006)

"Racing with the Red Queen: Dynamics of P2P File Sharing." Case, S. and John D. Sterman. In LearningEdge. Cambridge, MA: MIT Sloan School of Management, 2005.

"Supply Chain Dynamics, the 'Beer Distribution Game' and Misperceptions in Dynamic Decision Making." Sterman, John D. In Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems, Paris, France: UNESCO Publishing-EOLSS Publishers, 2005.

"Supply Chain Management: A Teaching Experiment." Croson, Rachel, Karen Donohue, Elena Katok and John D. Sterman. In Experimental Business Research, Vol. 3: Marketing, Accounting, and Cognitive Perspectives, edited by Rami Zwick and Amnon Rapoport, 285-296. Norwell, MA: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2005.   

"The Impact of Endogenous Demand on Push-Pull Production Systems." Gonçalves, Paulo, Jim Hines and John D. Sterman. System Dynamics Review Vol. 21, No. 3 (2005): 187-216. (2005)

"Why ‘Wait-and-See’ Won't Do." Sterman, John D. and Linda Booth Sweeney. In OpenDemocracy. Opendemocracy.com, April 2005.

"Market Growth, Collapse, and Failures to Learn from Interactive Simulation Games." Sterman, John D. In Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems, Paris, France: UNESCO Publishing-EOLSS Publishers, 2004.

"Managing Complex Dynamic Systems: Challenge and Opportunity for Naturalistic Decision Making Theory." Sterman, John D. and Linda Booth Sweeney. In How Professionals Make Decisions edited by Henry Montgomery,  Raanan Lipschitz and Berndt Brehmer, 57-90. Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 2005. (2004)

"What Do We Really Want? A Manifesto for the Organization of the 21st Century." Ancona, Deborah, Lotte Bailyn and John D. Sterman. In Inventing the Organizations of the 21st Century, edited by Thomas W. Malone, Robert Laubacher and Michael S. Scott Morton, 325-332. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2003.

"Overcoming the 90% Syndrome: Iteration Management in Concurrent Development Projects." Ford, David N. and John D. Sterman. Concurrent Engineering: Research and Applications Vol. 11, No. 3 (2003): 177-186. (2003)

"The Liar's Club: Concealing Rework in Concurrent Development." Ford, David N. and John D. Sterman. Concurrent Engineering: Research and Applications Vol. 11, No. 3 (2003): 211-220. (2003)

"Limits to Growth in the New Economy: Exploring the 'Get Big Fast' Strategy in e-commerce." Oliva, Rogelio, John D. Sterman and Martin Giese. System Dynamics Review Vol. 19, No. 2 (2003): 83-117. (2003)

"Effects of Feedback Delays on Learning." Hazir Ramandad, Nelson P. Repenning and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 2003 North American Association for Computational Social and Organizational Sciences Conference. Pittsburgh, PA: June 2003.

"E´ difficile creare interesse risolvendo problemi che non si sono mai manifestati." Repenning, Nelson P. and John D. Sterman. Quaderni di Management Vol. 2 (2003): 70-97. (2003)

"Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement." Repenning, Nelson P. and John D. Sterman. IEEE Engineering Management Review Vol. 30, No. 4 (2002): 64-78. (2002)

"System Dynamics Modeling for Project Management." Sterman, John D. Projects and Profits Vol. 2 (2002): 46-50. (2002)

"System Dynamics Modeling: Tools for Learning in a Complex World." Sterman, John D. IEEE Engineering Management Review Vol. 30, No. 1 (2002): 42-52.  (2002)

"Learning from Experience with Delayed Feedback." Hazhir Rahmandad, Nelson Repenning and John Sterman. In Proceedings of the 20th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by Pål I. Davidsen, Edoardo Mollon, Vedat G. Diker, Robin S. Langer and Jennifer I. Rowe. Albany, NY: July 2002.

Cloudy Skies: Assessing Public Understanding of Global Warming. Sterman, John D. and Linda Booth Sweeney. System Dynamics Review Vol. 18, No. 2 (2002): 207-240. (2002)

"Dana Meadows: Thinking Globally, Acting Locally." Sterman, John D. System Dynamics Review Vol. 18, No. 2 (2002): 101-107. (2002)

The Global Citizen: Celebrating the Life of Dana Meadows. Edited by ​Sterman, John D. System Dynamics Review Vol. 18, No. 2 (2002): 101-310. (2002)

"Capability Traps and Self-Confirming Attribution Errors in the Dynamics of Process Improvement." Repenning, Nelson P. and John D. Sterman. Administrative Science Quarterly Vol. 47, No. 2 (2002): 265-295. (2002)

"A Behavioral Model of the Economic Long Wave." Sterman, John D. In The Legacy of Herbert Simon in Economic Analysis, P. E. Earl, 101-140. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar, 2002.

"All Models are Wrong: Reflections on Becoming a Systems Scientist: 2002 Jay W. Forrester Award Address." Sterman, John D. System Dynamics Review Vol. 18, No. 4 (2002): 501-531.

"Cutting Corners and Working Overtime: Quality Erosion in the Service Industry." Oliva, Rogelio and John D. Sterman. Management Science Vol. 47, No. 7 (2001): 894-914. (2001)

"Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement." Repenning, Nelson P. and John D. Sterman (2001). California Management Review 43(4): 64-88. (2001)

"System Dynamics Modeling: Tools for Learning in a Complex World." Sterman, John D. California Management Review Vol. 43, No. 4 (2001): 8-25. (2001)

"Fine-Tuning Your Causal Loop Diagrams, Part II." Sterman, John D. The Systems Thinker, June 2001.

Instructor's Manual to Accompany Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking for a Complex World. John Sterman. Columbus, OH: Irwin/McGraw-Hill, 2001.

"Fine-Tuning Your Causal Loop Diagrams, Part I." Sterman, John D. The Systems Thinker, May 2001.

"Boom, bust, and failures to learn in expermental markets." Paich, Mark, and John D. Sterman. In Strategisches Management im Zeichen von Umbruch und Wandel, edited by Stefan Foschiani, W. Habenicht, U. Schmid and G. Waescher, 117-150. Stuttgart, Germany: Schäffer-Poeschel Verlag, 2000.

"Learning in and About Complex Systems" Sterman, John D. The Journal of the Society for Organizational Learning Vol. 1, No. 3 (2000): 24-29. (2000)

"Bathtub Dynamics: Initial Results of a Systems Thinking Inventory." Sweeney, Linda Booth and John D. Sterman. System Dynamics Review Vol. 16, No. 4 (2000): 249-294. (2000)

Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking for a Complex World. Sterman, John D. Columbus, OH: McGraw-Hill, 2000

"Path Dependence, Competition and Succession in the Dynamics of Scientific Revolution." Sterman, John D. and Jason Wittenberg. Organization Science Vol. 10, No. 3 (1999): 322-341. (1999)

"Overcoming the Improvement Paradox." Keating, Elizabeth, Rogelio Oliva, Nelson Repenning, Scott Rockart and John Sterman. European Management Journal Vol. 17, No. 2 (1999): 120-134. (1999)

"Dynamic Modeling of Product Development Processes." Ford, David N. and John D. Sterman (1998). System Dynamics Review Vol. 14, No. 1 (1998): 31-68. (1998)

"Dynamics of Managing Multiple Improvement Efforts." Oliva, Rogelio, Scott Rockart and John D. Sterman. In Advances in the Management of Organizational Quality, edited by Soumen Ghosh and Donald Fedor, 1-55. Stamford, CT: JAI Press, 1998.

"Playing the Maintenance Game: How Mental Models Drive Organizational Decisions." Carroll, John S., John D. Sterman and Alfred A. Marcus. In Debating Rationality: Nonrational Aspects of Organizational Decision Making, edited by Jennifer J. Halpern and Robert C. Stern, 99-121. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1998. 

"Expert Knowledge Elicitation for Improving Mental and Formal Models." Ford, David N. and John D. Sterman. System Dynamics Review Vol. 14, No. 4 (1998): 309-340. (1998)

"Getting Quality the Old Fashioned Way: Self-Confirming Attributions in the Dynamics of Process Improvement." Repenning, Nelson P. and John D. Sterman. In Improving Theory and Research on Quality Enhancement in Organizations, edited by Tracy R. Wellens, W. Richard Scott and Robert Cole. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 1997. (1997)

"Towards Evaluation of Systems Thinking Interventions: A Case Study." Cavaleri, Steven and John D. Sterman. System Dynamics Reivew Vol. 13, No. 2 (1997): 171-186. (1997)

"Superstitious Learning." Sterman, John D. The Systems Thinker, May 1997.

"Unanticipated Side Effects of Successful Quality Programs: Exploring a Paradox of Organizational Improvement." Sterman, John D., Nelson P. Repenning and Fred Kofman. Management Science Vol. 43, No.4 (1997): 503-521. (1997)

"Mode Locking and Entrainment of Endogenous Economic Cycles." Haxholdt, Christian, Christian Kampmann, Erik Mosekilde and John D. Sterman. System Dynamics Review Vol. 11, No. 3 (1995): 177-198. (1995)

Effects of Feedback Complexity on Dynamic Decision Making. Diehl, Ernst and John D. Sterman. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes Vol. 62, No. 2 (1995): 198-215. (1995)

"Designing Corporate Strategy with System Dynamics: A Case Study in the Pulp and Paper Industry." Risch, Jonathan D., Luis Troyano-Bermúdez and John D. Sterman. System Dynamics Review Vol. 11, No. 4 (1995): 249-274. (1995)

"Business Cycles and Long Waves." Mosekilde, Erik and John D. Sterman. In Business Cycles: Theory and Empirical Methods, edited by Willi Semmler, 13-51. New York, NY: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1994.

"Learning in and about Complex Systems." Sterman, John D. System Dynamics Review Vol. 10, No. 2 (1994): 291-330. (1994)

"Beyond Training Wheels." Sterman, John D. In The Fifth Discipline Fieldbook, edited by Peter M. Senge, Art Kleiner, Charlotte Roberts, Richard B. Ross and Bryan J. Smith, 177-184. New York, NY: Doubleday/Currency, 1994.

"Evolutionary Economics and System Dynamics." Radzicki, Michael J. and John D. Sterman. In Evolutionary Concepts in Contemporary Economics, edited by Richard W. England, 61-89. (1994)

Modeling for Learning Organizations. Morecroft, John D. W.  and John D. Sterman. Portland, OR: Productivity Press, 1994.

"The Meaning of Models." Sterman, John D. Science, April 1994.

"Boom, Bust, and Failures to Learn in Experimental Markets." Paich, Mark and John D. Sterman. Management Science Vol. 39, No. 12 (1993): 1439-1458. (1993)

"Mode Locking and Nonlinear Entrainment of Macroeconomic Cycles." Mosekilde, Erik, Erik Reiter Larsen, John D. Sterman and J. S. Thompsen. In Nonlinear Economics and Evolutionary Economics, edited by R. Day and P. Chen, 58-83. New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1993.

Entrainment in a Disaggregated Long Wave Model. Kampmann, Christian, Christian Haxholdt, Erik Mosekilde, and John D. Sterman. In Evolutionary Economics and Chaos Theory, edited by Loet A. Leydesdorff and Peter Van Den Besselaar. New York, NY: Palgrave Macmillan, 1993.

"Caught by the Long Wave." Sterman, John D. Toronto Globe and Mail, February 1993.

"Long Wave Decline and the Politics of Depression." Sterman, John D. Bank Credit Analyst Vol. 44, No. 4 (1992): 26-42.  (1992)

"Teaching Takes Off: Flight Simulators for Management Education." ​Sterman, John D. OR/MS Today, October 1992. 

"Model Supported Case Studies for Management Education." Graham, Alan K., John D. W. Morecroft, Peter M. Senge and John D. Sterman. European Journal of Operational Research Vol. 59, No. 1 (1992): 151-166. (1992)

"Modelling for Learning Organizations." Senge, Peter M. and John D. Sterman. Special issue of European Journal of Operational Research Vol. 59, No. 1 (1992): 137-150. (1992)

"Systems Thinking and Organizational Learning: Acting Locally and Thinking Globally in the Organization of the Future." Senge, Peter M. and John D. Sterman. In Transforming Organizations, edited by Thomas Kochan and M. Useem, 353-371. New York, NY: Oxford University Press,1992.  (1992)

"Coping with complexity: Deterministic chaos in human decisionmaking behavior." Mosekilde, Erik, Erik Reimer Larsen and John D. Sterman. In Beyond Belief: Randomness, Prediction, and Explanation in Science, edited by John L. Casti and Anders Karlqvist, 199-229. Boston, MA: CRC Press, 1991.

"Hyperchaotic Phenomena in Dynamic Decision Making." Thomsen, Jesper Skovhus, Erik Mosekilde and John D. Sterman. In Decision Support Systems and Qualitative Reasoning, edited by M. G. Singh and L. Travé-Massuyès, 149-154. North Holland, Netherlands: Elsevier Science Publishers, 1991. 

"A Long Wave Perspective on the Economy in the 1990s." Sterman, J. Bank Credit Analyst Vol. 42, No. 1 (1990): 28-47.

"A Petroleum Life Cycle Model for the United States with Endogenous Technology, Exploration, Recovery, and Demand." Davidsen, Pål I., John D. Sterman and George P. Richardson. System Dynamics Review Vol. 6, No. 1 (1990): 66-93. (1990)

"Nonlinear Dynamics in the World Economy: The Economic Long Wave." Sterman, John D. In Structure, Coherence, and Chaos in Dynamical Systems, edited by P. Christiansen and R. Parmentier, 389-414. Manchester, England: Manchester University Press, 1988. (1989)

Deterministic Chaos in an Experimental Economic System. Sterman, John D. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization Vol. 12, No. 1 (1989): 1-28. (1989)

"Computer-Based Case Studies in Management Education and Research." Graham, Alan K., Peter M. Senge, John D. Sterman and John D. W. Morecroft. In Computer Based Management of Complex Systems, edited by P. Milling and E. Zahn, 317-326. Berlin, Germany: Springer Verlag, 1989.

"Control Theory Heuristics for Improving the Behavior of Economic Models." Özverenand, Cüneyt M. and John D. Sterman. System Dynamics Review Vol. 5, No. 2 (1989): 130-147. (1989)

"Misperceptions of Feedback in Dynamic Decision Making." Sterman, John D. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes Vol. 43, No. 3 (1989): 301-335. (1989)

"Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment." Sterman, John D. Management Science Vol. 35, No. 3 (1989): 321-339. (1989)

"Modeling the Estimation of Petroleum Resources in the United States." ​Sterman, John D., George P. Richardson and Pål I. Davidsen. Technological Forecasting and Social Change Vol. 33, No. 3 (1988): 219-249. (1988)

"Modeling the Formation of Expectations: The History of Energy Demand Forecasts." Sterman, John D. International Journal of Forecasting Vol. 4, No. 2 (1988) 243-259. (1988)

"Deterministic Chaos in Models of Human Behavior: Methodological Issues and Experimental Results." Sterman, John D. System Dynamics Review Vol. 4, No. 1 (1988):148-178. (1988)

"A Skeptic's Guide to Computer Models." Sterman, John D. In Foresight and National Decisions, edited by L. Grant, G. Barney, W. Kreutzer and M. Garrett, 133-169. Lanham, MD: University Press of America, 1987.

"Debt, Default, and Long Waves: Is History Relevant?" Sterman, John D. In The Escalation in Debt and Disinflation: Prelude to Financial Mania and Crash? Montreal Canada: BCA Publications, 1987.

"Testing Behavioral Simulation Models by Direct Experiment." Sterman, John D. Management Science Vol. 33, No. 12 (1987): 1572-1592. (1987)

"The Economic Long Wave: Theory and Evidence." Sterman, John D. The Long Wave Debate, edited by Tibor Vasko, 127-161. Berlin, Germany: Springer Verlag, 1987.

"Expectation Formation in Behavioral Simulation Models." Sterman, John D. Behavioral Science Vol. 32, No. 3 (1987): 190-211. (1987)

"Debt, Default, and Long Waves: Is History Relevant?" Sterman, John D. Bank Credit Analyst Vol. 38, No. 5 (1986): 28-42. (1986)

"The Economic Long Wave: Theory and Evidence." Sterman, John D. System Dynamics Review Vol. 2, No. 2 (1986): 87-125. (1986)

"An Experiment to Evaluate Methods for Estimating Fossil Fuel Resources." Sterman, John D. and George P. Richardson. Journal of Forecasting Vol. 4, No. 2 (1985): 197-226. (1985)

"The Growth of Knowledge: Testing a Theory of Scientific Revolutions with a Formal Model." Sterman, John D. Technological Forecasting and Social Change Vol. 28, No. 2 (1985): 93-122. (1985)

"A Disaggregate Population Model of China." Wang, Qifan and John D. Sterman. Simulation Vol. 45, No. 1 (1985): 7-14. (1985)

"Bifurcations and Chaotic Behavior in a Simple Model of the Economic Long Wave." Rasmussen, Steen, Erik Mosekilde, and John D. Sterman. System Dynamics Review Vol. 1, No. 1 (1985): 92-110. (1985)

"STRATEGEM-2: A Microcomputer Simulation Game of the Kondratiev Cycle." Sterman, J. and D. L. Meadows. Simulation and Games Vol. 16, No. 2 (1985): 174-202. (1985)

"A Behavioral Model of the Economic Long Wave." Sterman, John D. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization Vol. 6, No. 1 (1985): 17-53. (1985)

"An Integrated Theory of the Economic Long Wave." Sterman, John D. Futures Vol. 17, No. 2 (1985): 104-131. (1985)

"Appropriate Summary Statistics for Evaluating the Historical Fit of System Dynamics Models." Sterman, John D. Dynamica Vol. 10, No. 2 (1984): 51-66. (1984)

"The Long Wave." Sterman, John D. Science, March 1983.

"Economic Vulnerability and the Energy Transition." Sterman, John D. Energy Systems and Policy Vol. 7, No. 4 (1983): 259-301. (1983)

"A Dynamic, Disequilibrium Model of Energy-Economy Interactions." Sterman, John D. International Journal of Energy Systems Vol. 2, No. 3 (1982): 159-163. (1982)

"Policy Analysis of the Low-Level Radioactive Waste-Disposal Problem in the United States." Maloney, S. and John D. Sterman. Nuclear Safety Vol. 23, No. 3 (1982): 300-309. (1982)

 

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