Arnold Barnett

George Eastman Professor of Management Science
Professor of Statistics

Biography | Selected Publications

“Aviation Safety and Security." Barnett, Arnold I. (March 2011). Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and the Management Sciences

Southwest Jet Rupture and Flight Risk (2011)

“Cross-National Differences in Aviation Safety Records." Barnett, Arnold I. (August 2010). Transportation Science, 44(3), 322-332. 

Aviation Safety and Security." Barnett, Arnold I. Chapter 11 in Belobaba, Peter, Amedeo Odoni, and Cynthia Barnhard (eds.) The Global Airline Industry, John Wiley & Sons, 2009, pp. 313-342. 

"Is It Really Safe To Fly?” Barnett, Arnold I. Chapter 2 in Tutorials in Operations Research 2008, (Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences). 2008. 

“A Cure for the Electoral College?” Barnett, Arnold I., and Edward H. Kaplan (Spring 2007). Chance (American Statistical Association), 20(2): 6-9. 

“Match the Bags Again.” Barnett, Arnold I. (April 2007). Airport Innovation. Inaugural Issue. 

Measure for Measure: An Analysis of Aviation-Safety Metrics (2007)

“How Effective is Security Screening for Airline Passengers?” Martonosi, Susan E., and Barnett, Arnold I. (November 2006). Interfaces, 36(6): 545-552. 

“Airlines as Baseball Players: Another Approach to Evaluating Air Carrier Safety Records.” Czerwinski, David, and Arnold I. Barnett (September 2006). Management Science, 52(9): 1291-1300. 

“O.R. Heroes on Flight 93.” Barnett, Arnold I. (2006). OR/MS TODAY, August 2006. 

“World Airline Safety: The Century So Far.” Barnett, Arnold I. (2006). Flight Safety Digest, 33.  (2006)

“CAPPS II: The Foundation of Aviation Security?” Barnett, Arnold I. (August 2004). Risk Analysis, 24(4): 909-916. 

“Effectiveness Analysis for Aviation-Safety Measures in the Absence of Actual Data.” Barnett, Arnold I., and Gary Paull (Fall 2004). Air Traffic Control Quarterly, 12(3).

“Terror is In the Air.” Barnett, Arnold I., and Susan E. Martonosi (2004). Chance, American Statistical Association, 18.  (2004)

“Aviation Security’s False Hope?” Barnett, Arnold I. (May 2003). MIT Technology Insider

“A New Approach to Estimating the Probability of Winning the Presidency.” Kaplan, Edward H., and Arnold I. Barnett (2003). Operations Research, 51(1): 32-40.  (2003)

“Dose Conversion from Epoetin alfa to Darbepoetin alfa for Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease Receiving Hemodialysis." Barnett, Arnold I., and Pierre Y. Cremieux (2003). Pharmacotherapy,.  (2003)

“The Worst Day Ever: September 11 and Commercial Aviation." Barnett, Arnold I. (December 2011). OR/MS TODAY.  (2001)

“Air Safety: End of the Golden Age?” Barnett, Arnold I. (August 2001). Journal of the Operational Research Society, 52(8): 849-854.

“Safe at Home? An Experiment in Domestic Airline Security.” Barnett, Arnold I., Robert Shumsky, Mark Hansen, Amedeo Odoni, and Geoffrey Gosling (March 2001). Operations Research, 49(2): 181-195.

“Anemia-Related Costs for Cancer Patients.” Barnett, Arnold I., Pierre Y. Cremieux, A. Mark Fendrick, Martine George, and Mitchell Slavin (2001). Journal of Managed Care Medicine, 5(12).  (2001)

“Free-Flight and En Route Air Safety: A First-Order Analysis." Barnett, Arnold I. (November 2000). Operations Research, 48(6): 833-845.

“Airline Safety: The Recent Record.” Barnett, Arnold I., and Alexander Wang (April 2000). FlighSafetDigest.

“Fatal US Runway Collisions Over the Next Two Decades." Barnett, A. I., G. Paull, and J. Iaedeluca (2000). Air Traffic Control Quarterly, 8(4): 833-845.  (2000)

Barnett, Arnold I. (2000). Foreword to Understanding Aviation Safety Data, SAE.  (2000)

It’s a Crime What Some People Do with Statistics (2000)

Misused Statistics (2000)

Barnett, Arnold I. (2000). Review of Capital Punishment: A Reader. Ethics, July 2000. 

“The Cost of Cancer to a Major Employer." Barnett, Arnold I., Howard Birnbaum, Pierre Y. Cremieux, A. Mark Fendrick, and Mitchell Slavin (November 2000). American Journal of Managed Care, 6(11): 1243-1251.

“A Parallel Approach Path for Estimating Collision Risk during Simultaneous Landings.” Barnett, Arnold I. (March 1999). Management Science, 45(3): 382-394. 

Barnett, Arnold I. (October 1997). Review of Cartographies of Danger, Technology Review.

Barnett, Arnold I. (January 1997). Review of Efficiency of Racetrack Betting Markets, Interfaces, 27.

“Beauty and the Beast: A Visit to South Africa.” Barnett, Arnold I. (October 1996). ROI.

“The Affirmative Action Debate." Barnett, Arnold I. (August 1996). OR/MS Today.

“Good News is No News?” Barnett, Arnold I., and Jesse Goranson (May 1996). Interfaces, 26(3): 35-39. 

Barnett, Arnold I (February 1996). Review of A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper, Technology Review.

“Jail Terms." Barnett, Arnold I. (March 1995). Interfaces, 25(2): 18-24

“Race, IQ, Genetics and The Bell Curve." Barnett, Arnold I (February 1995). OR/MS Today.

“Business Schools: Failing Fast?” Barnett, Arnold I. (March 1994). Interfaces, 24.

“Models Fail." Barnett, Arnold I. Chapter 3 in Pollock, S., A. Barnett, and M. Rothkopf (eds.) Operations Research in the Public Sector, Elsevier-North Holland, 1994. 

“Something Specious in the Air? Some Statistical Misconceptions in Aviation Safety Research.” Barnett, Arnold I. (1994). Transportation Research Record, #1423, 52-61. (1994)

“The On-Time Machines: Some Analyses of Airline Punctuality.” Caulkins, Jonathan P., Arnold I. Barnett, Patrick D. Larkey, Yuehong Yuan, and Jesse Goranson (July 1993) Operations Research, 41(4): 710-720

“Landings at Logan Airport: Describing and Increasing Airport Capacity.” Barnett, Arnold I., C.S. Venkatakrishnan, and Amedeo Odoni (July 1993). Transportation Science, 27(3): 211-227. 

“The relation between experience and outcome in heart transplantation." Laffel, Glenn L., Arnold I. Barnett, Stan Finkelstein, and Michael P. Kaye (October 1992). New England Journal of Medicine, 327(7): 1220-1225.

“America's Vietnam Casualties:  Victims of a Class War?” Barnett, Arnold I., Timothy Stanley, and Michael Shore (October 1992). Operations Research, 40(5): 856-866. 

“The Market Response to the Sioux City DC-10 Crash.” Barnett, Arnold I., John Menhigetti, and Matthew Prete (March 1992). Risk Analysis, 12(1): 45-52. 

 “Better than Ever: Nonstop Jet Service in an Era of Hubs and Spokes.” Barnett, Arnold I., Todd Curtis, Jesse Goranson, and Andrew Patrick (1992). Sloan Management Review, 33(2): 49-54.  (1992)

“Not All Criminal Career Models Are Equally Valid.” Barnett, Arnold I., Alfred Blumstein, Jacqueline Cohen, and David P. Farrington (February 1992). Criminology, 30(1): 133-140.

“Smoke Signals.” Barnett, Arnold I., and Irwin Greenberg (November 1991). Interfaces, 21(6): 96-102. 

“Review of Equal Justice and the Death Penalty." Barnett, Arnold I. (October 1991). Ethics, 102(1). 

An Unfortunate Pattern in U.S. Domestic Jet Crashes." Barnett, Arnold I., and Todd Curtis (October 1991). Flight Safety Digest, 10(10), 1-21. 

“Take the Bargain and Fly." Barnett, Arnold I. (April 1990). Advancing the Consumer Interest

“Rain Men.” Barnett, Arnold I., and Harvey Tress (1990). Interfaces, 20(2): 42-47.  (1990)

“Air Safety: End of the Golden Age?” Barnett, Arnold I. (1990). Chance: New Directions for Statistics and Computing, 3(2): 8-13. (1990)

“Selecting the Nation's CEO: A Risk Assessment of the Electoral College.” Barnett, Arnold I. (1990). Journal of Managerial Issues, 21(4): 357-370.  (1990)

“Dealing with Autism.” Barnett, Arnold I. (May 1989). Interfaces, 19(3): 27-32. 

“Urban Homicide: Still the Same.” Barnett, Arnold I., and Elliot Schwartz (March 1989). Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 5(1): 83-100. 

“A Prospective Test of a Criminal Careers Model." Barnett, Arnold I., Alfred Blumstein, and David P. Farrington (May 1989). Criminology, 27(2): 373-388.

“Airline Safety: The Last Decade.” Barnett, Arnold I., and Mary K. Higgins (January 1989). Management Science, 35(1): 1-21. 

“The Mystery of the Two-Faced Regression.” Barnett, Arnold I., and Peter Brownell (1989). Interfaces, 19(2): 56-60. (1989)

“Heroin Crackdowns and Crime Rates: A Comment on the Kleiman Report and Two Massachusetts Experiments.” Chapter 3 in Marcia R. Chaiken (ed.) Street-Level Drug Enforcement: Examining the Issues, National Institute of Justice, August 1988, pp. 37-46. 

“Wind Shear: Down but not Out.” Barnett, Arnold I. (Summer 1988). MIT Management, 18. 

First-Degree Murder and the Death Sentence in Georgia (1984)

Selective Incapacitation and the Philadelphia Cohort Data (1984)

“A Quartile Test for Differences in Distribution.” Barnett, Arnold I., and Ellen Eisen (1982). Journal of the American Statistical Association, 77(377): 44-51.  (1982)

“Learning to Live with Homicide: A Research Note" Barnett, Arnold I. (1982). Journal of Criminal Justice, 10: 69-72. (1982)

“The Decision Between Single and Combined Modality Therapy in Hodgkin's Disease.” Cynthia J. Rutherford, Jane DesForges, Arnold I. Barnett, Charles Safran, and Byron Davies (February 1982). American Journal of Medicine, 72(1): 63-70.

Evaluating the Validity of a Bayesian Model of Predicting Stage in Hodgkin's Disease (1981)

“On the Sequential Search for Spatially-Distributed Events.” Barnett, Arnold I., and John Mazzarino (March 1980). SIAM Journal on Algebraic and Discrete Methods, 1(1): 82-91.

“The Decision to Perform Staging Laparotomy in Symptomatic Hodgkin's Disease,” Cynthia J. Rutherford, Jane F. Desforges, Byron Davies, and Arnold I. Barnett (1980). British Journal of Hematology, 44(3): 347-358. (1980)

“Airline Safety: Some Empirical Findings.” Barnett, Arnold I., Michael Abraham, and Victor Schimmel (November 1979). Management Science, 25(11): 1045-1056.

“A Statistical Procedure for Testing Nuclear-Powered Cardiac Pacemakers.” Barnett, Arnold I., Daniel J. Kleitman, D. Rosenbaum, and B. Singer (August 1978). Technometrics, 20(3): 221-226. 

“Optimal Control of the B/B/C Queue." Barnett, Arnold I (August 1978). Interfaces, 8(4): 49-52.

“Control Strategies for Transport Systems with Nonlinear Waiting Costs.” Barnett, Arnold I. (May 1978). Transportation Science, 12(2): 119-136.

“Crime and Capital Punishment: Some Recent Studies.” Barnett, Arnold I. (1978). Journal of Criminal Justice, 6(4): 291-303.  (1978)

"On Two-Terminal Control of a Shuttle Service." Barnett, Arnold I., and Daniel J. Kleitman (1978). SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics, 35(2): 229-234. (1978)

“Some Optimization Problems with Bulk-Service Queues.” Barnett, Arnold I., and Daniel J. Kleitman (Fall 1978). Studies in Applied Mathematics, 277-290. 

“On Searching for Events of Limited Duration.” Barnett, Arnold I. (May-June 1976). Operations Research, 24(3): 438-451.

More on a Market Share Theorem (1975)

“On Controlling Randomness in Transit Operations.” Barnett, Arnold I. (May 1974). Transportation Science, 8(2): 85-102.

“Urban Violence and Risk to the Individual.” Barnett, Arnold I., and Daniel J. Kleitman (1973). Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency, 10(2): 110-116.  (1973)

“Optimal Scheduling Policies for Some Simple Transportation Systems.” Barnett, Arnold I., and Daniel J. Kleitman (1973). Transportation Science, 7(1): 85-99. (1973)

“On Scheduling Some Transport Systems with Discrete-Time Passenger Arrivals.” Barnett, Arnold I. (1973). Studies in Applied Mathematics, pp. 75-86.  (1973)


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Research Center(s)

General Expertise
Air safety; Operations management; Operations research; Operations research; Statistics