Arnold I. Barnett


Arnold I. Barnett

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Arnold Barnett is the George Eastman Professor of Management Science and a Professor of Statistics at the MIT Sloan School of Management.

His research specialty is applied mathematical modeling with a focus on problems of health and safety. Barnett’s early work on homicide was presented to President Gerald Ford at the White House, and his analysis of U.S. casualties in Vietnam was the subject of a column by William F. Buckley.

Barnett has written op-ed pieces for The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, the Boston Globe, CNN Opinion, the Charlotte Observer, and USA Today. He received the President’s Award and the Expository Writing Award from INFORMS in 1996 and in 2001, and is a Fellow of INFORMS. Cited as “the nation’s leading expert on aviation safety,” Barnett was recognized with the 2002 President’s Citation from the Flight Safety Foundation for “truly outstanding contributions on behalf of safety.” MIT Sloan students have honored him on 14 occasions for outstanding teaching.

Barnett holds a BA in mathematics from Columbia College and a PhD in mathematics from MIT. 


Barnett wins Jamieson Prize


"Why Did US Urban Homicide Spike in 2020? A Cross-Sectional Data Analysis for the Largest American Cities."

Fazel-Zarandi, Mohammad M., and Arnold I. Barnett. Risk Analysis. Forthcoming.

"​After 2016 and 2020, Can We Still Trust the Polls?"

Barnett, Arnold I., and Arnaud Sarfati. The Hill, October 12, 2023.

"The Polls and the Presidential Election in 2020...And 2024."

Barnett, Arnold I., and Arnaud Sarfari. Statistics and Public Policy Vol. 10, No. 1 (2023): 2199809.

"A Simple Fix for Gerrymandering?"

Barnett, Arnold, Pengchen Han, and Gege Zhang. Chance, February 2022.

"Covid-19 Infection Risk on US Domestic Airlines."

Barnett, Arnold and Keith Fleming. Health Care Management Science No. 25 (2022): 347–362.

"You Tube's Violative View Rate Methodology: A Statistical Assessment."

Arnold Barnett. Cambridge, MA: November 2021.

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Recent Insights


Highlights from MIT Sloan Reunion 2023

Over 1,300 Sloanies and their guests returned to campus in early June to attend MIT Sloan Reunion 2023.

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Latin America Office to host webinar on election polling

The recent U.S. presidential elections have led to debates about the effectiveness of pollsters and the Electoral College. Prof. Arnold Barnett will explore this topic and share his recommendations.

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