Tharman Shanmugaratnam named as winner of the Miriam Pozen Prize
The MIT Golub Center for Finance and Policy (GCFP) is awarding President of the Republic of Singapore Tharman Shanmugaratnam the Miriam Pozen Prize.
Faculty
Deborah Lucas is the Sloan Distinguished Professor of Finance at the MIT Sloan School of Management and Director of the MIT Golub Center for Finance and Policy.
Lucas’s recent research lies at the intersection of finance and policy, with a focus on applying the insights of financial economics to measure the costs and risks of a broad range of government financial activities. Some current projects include developing and applying new methods to measure the value of government subsidies to development banks and other state-owned enterprises (SOEs); improving the measurement of the fiscal and macroeconomic effects of credit support and guarantee policies; creating an international inventory of credit subsidies to the energy sector; compiling a world atlas of government financial institutions; evaluating the sustainability of state and local pension systems in a stochastic framework; and analyzing the costs and welfare consequences of government financial products such as reverse mortgages and mortgage credit risk transfer securities.
Current affiliations include visiting scholar at the International Montetary Fund, Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, member of the Academic Research Council of the Housing Policy Center at the Urban Institute, member of the Shadow Open Market Committee, and trustee for the NBER pension plans. She is on the editorial board of the Annual Review of Financial Economics, and serves as an independent director of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, P/E Investments, and NatureServe. Elected positions include member of the National Academy of Public Administration, member of the National Academy of Social Insurance, Senior Fellow of the Asian Bureau of Financial and Economic Research, and Fellow of the Econometric Society.
Previous appointments include chief economist, and subsequently assistant and associate director at the U.S. Congressional Budget Office, member on two Social Security Technical Advisory Panels, senior staff economist for U.S. Council of Economic Advisers, Professor at the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University, and coeditor of the JMCB. An expert on U.S. federal credit programs, she has testified before the U.S. Congress on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, student loans, and strategically important financial institutions.
Lucas received her BA, MA, and a PhD in economics from the University of Chicago.
Lucas, Deborah J. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. Forthcoming.
Krahnen, Jan Pieter, Ted Lindblom, Deborah J. Lucas, Magnus Olsson, Paolo Fulghieri, and Anjan Thakor. Journal of Financial Intermediation. Forthcoming. SSRN Preprint.
Deborah J. Lucas. In SOMC 50th Anniversary Conference Volume, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA:. Forthcoming.
Lucas, Deborah J., Márcio G. P. Garcia, Tiago C. C. Solberg, MIT Sloan Working Paper 7339-25. Cambridge, MA: MIT Sloan School of Management, June 2025.
Deborah J. Lucas. In NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2024, Chicago, IL: April 2024.
Deborah J. Lucas. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Policy Hub Vol. 2024, No. 3 (2024): 1-29.
The MIT Golub Center for Finance and Policy (GCFP) is awarding President of the Republic of Singapore Tharman Shanmugaratnam the Miriam Pozen Prize.
The biennial prize recognizes an individual who had made outstanding contributions to the advancement of financial policy research or practice, which is the core mission of the MIT GCFP.
Professor Deborah Lucas did "a little back-of-the-envelope calculation," which is as follows: Last year the Social Security Administration paid about a trillion and a half dollars in benefits. Which means that just one small data error in the consumer price index (CPI), one that increased payments by a 10th of 1% would cost taxpayers $1.5 billion annually. "So we're talking about a lot of money. The value just there covers the cost of the data collection and processing by many, many multiples," she said.
Several attendees at this year's Federal Reserve Jackson Hole Economic Symposium said the problem with high indebtedness is not a threshold, but that it leaves governments in a precarious position where slight changes to interest rates or a recession can cause far-reaching pain. "It is shocks not stocks that cause crises," said professor Deborah Lucas.
"The SVB support signalled that regulators were more afraid of the risk that they will be blamed for allowing a panic than they are of the consequences of putting huge amounts of federal resources at risk," says professor Deborah Lucas.
Professor Deborah Lucas said economic bailouts have become "unnecessarily frequent and wide-ranging." A so-called "bailout culture" has become somewhat normalized, said Lucas. "The expansion of deposit guarantees to uninsured depositors following Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in 2023 exemplifies this trend," she added.