Select Publications and Working Papers
"Are ‘Complementary Policies’ Substitutes? Evidence from R&D Subsidies in the UK."
Pless, Jacquelyn. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy. Forthcoming. SSRN Preprint.
Bayesian Entrepreneurship.
Agrawal, Ajay, Arnoldo Camuffo, Alfonso Gambardella, Joashua Gans, Erin Scott, and Scott Stern (Eds.). Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, Forthcoming.
"Comment: How Does Culture Matter for Attainment, and How Would We Know If It Did?"
Brady, David, Aliza Luft, and Ezra W. Zuckerman Sivan. American Sociology Review. Forthcoming.
"Competition Avoidance vs. Herding in Job Search: Evidence from Large-Scale Field Experiments on an Online Job Board."
Fradkin, Andrey, Monica Bhole, and John J. Horton. Management Science. Forthcoming. Postprint.
"Consumer Demand with Social Influences: Evidence from an E-commerce Platform."
Caoui, El Hadi, Chiara Farronato, John J. Horton, and Robert Schultz. Management Science. Forthcoming. NBER Preprint.
"Hiring as Exploration."
Li, Danielle, Lindsey Raymond, and Peter Bergman. Review of Economic Studies. Forthcoming. Accepted Manuscript.
"The Production and Consumption of Social Media."
Filippas, Apostolos, John J. Horton, Elliot Lipnowski, and Prasanna Parasurama. Management Science. Forthcoming.
"Algorithmic Writing Assistance on Jobseekers’ Resumes Increases Hires."
Wiles, Emma, Zanele Munyikwa, and John J. Horton. Management Science Vol. 71, No. 12 (2025): 144-164. NBER Preprint. Supplementary Materials.
"Theory-based Differences and the Origins of Heterogeneous Priors in Entrepreneurship."
Topic: Entrepreneurship
Gans, Joshua, Erin L Scott, and Scott Stern, Working Paper. October 2025.
Keywords: Theory-based View, Heterogeneous Beliefs, Entrepreneurial Strategy, Experimentation, Venture Finance
"What if NIH had Been 40% Smaller?"
Azoulay, Pierre, Matthew Clancy, Danielle Li, and Bhaven N. Sampat. Science Vol. 389, No. 6767 (2025): 1303-1305. Supplementary Online Material. Replication package.
"Paper Tiger? Chinese Science and Home Bias in Citations."
Qiu, Shumin, Claudia Steinwender, and Pierre Azoulay. Journal of International Economics Vol. 157, (2025): 104123. Also NBER Working Paper #32468.
"Innovation Bandits: A Dynamic Portfolio Strategy with Endogenous Rewards."
Topic: Innovation
Baumgärtner, C. Lennart, Laurin Köhler-Schindler, and Jacquelyn Pless, MIT Sloan Working Paper 7278-25. Cambridge, MA: MIT Sloan School of Management, May 2025.
Keywords: Sustainability, Portfolio Optimization, Innovation Policy, Technological Change, Experience Curves, Technology Investment
Accelerating Innovation.
Budden, Phil and Fiona Murray. The MIT Press, 2025.
Accelerating Innovation: Competitive Advantage Through Ecosystem Engagement.
Budden, Phil and Fiona E. Murray. The MIT Press, 2025.
"Indirect Cost Recovery in U.S. Innovation Policy: History, Evidence, and Avenues for Reform."
Topic: Innovation
Azoulay, Pierre, Daniel P. Gross, and Bhaven N. Sampat, Working Paper. March 2025. Also NBER Working Paper #33627.
Keywords: Science Policy, Economics of Science, Biomedicine, Indirect Cost Recovery, NIH